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> My point is that he hasn't given any reason to think that tax / person really is a better statistic for any purpose. It's valuable to look at different stati
by lionhearted 17y ago
> My point is that he hasn't given any reason to think that tax / person really is a better statistic for any purpose.
It's valuable to look at different statistics in metrics in most endeavors. No statistics are perfect, but it's good to check out different ones. Take baseball, for instance. You have batting average (the percent of times a hitter gets a hit) and you have runs scored (runs are baseball's equivalent of "points" or "goals" for people unfamiliar; you win by having more runs than your opponent). The usual way people look at tax burden is looking at percent of GDP - batting average, so to speak. But it's also worthwhile to look at runs scored.
Why is that? Well, maybe batting average isn't the only way to win games. Baseball used to be obsessed with batting average, but neglected a more subtle and advanced statistic called "on base percentage" for years. If you did an analysis of runs scored, you'd find you need on base percentage more than batting average. If you did an analysis of taxation that showed that you could have higher tax yields without taxing a higher percentage of GDP, that'd be well worth knowing.
At the very least, it's a number worth looking at.
> Perhaps it's something like this.... so demotivation is, so to speak, a function of income; so to measure how demotivated our workers are by tax we should look at their taxes in absolute terms.
Actually, the largest reason taxes reduce GDP isn't motivation. It's that the government doesn't invest in the same thing as individuals. When you take taxes from, say, Sergey Brin, and put them under the control of the Senate, that money is going to be spent differently. Brin's money is far more likely to grow the GDP of the United States for the future than whatever the Senate spends it on. The Senate funds some things that produce returns (quality infrastructure, science), some things that help maintain things (a bit of law enforcement, courts), and then a lot of things that don't produce returns. Individuals reinvest in productive endeavors at a much greater rate. Taxation moves resources from the control of people who are more interested in reinvesting and growing their investments to politicians, who are primarily interested in getting re-elected.
> the purpose of taxation is to provide the people with benefits
The purpose of taxation is to increase the revenues that the taxing authority collects. How those revenues are spent are up to the authority. Some governments provide benefits to the people, some buy weapons and try to take over their neighbors, some just steal the money outright. Taxation is sold as providing benefits to the people, but that's not necessarily how the tax yields are spent.
> 1... 2... 3... 4...
I agree with some of those arguments, disagree with others. But the main point is he's not offering a Swiss Army Knife that measures everything, he's just pointing out another number we can look at and take into consideration. To go back to baseball, it's good to look at batting average, on base percentage, isolated power, runs scored, pitches taken, and a number of other factors - there's some great players that have a low average and low on base, but hit with lots of power so they're good. All things being equal, you'd like to have your players take more pitches and wear the other side out. There's a hidden value in a player that takes 1 extra pitch per appearance even if he's just an average player - he'll take 4-5 extra pitches a game, which might mean wearing the opposing pitcher out who has to be taken out. That means your teammate will face a worse pitcher. If you can get a full team of players that take a lot of pitches, you might see spend 10% of the game facing the opposing team's worse reliever when the guy who started the game gets tired and has to be taken out very early.
But if you said - "let's only look at pitches taken", you'd be crazy, because it's useless by itself. If you said, "let's only look at runs scored" you'd be crazy, because it's also about how your teammates do after you get on. But that doesn't mean you should only look at batting average either - or you won't have a complete picture. It's worth looking at all the numbers, so I'm happy this number was brought up for thinking about.
- gjm11 17y ago> It's valuable to look at different statistics in metrics in most endeavors. Well, sure. The question is which statistics are useful. If Mankiw had proposed dividing the total tax revenue by, say, the number of parrots in the country, obviously "well, it's another statistic" wouldn't be enough justification for looking at it. My point is that Mankiw really hasn't given any reasons to take total tax per person much more seriously than total tax per parrot, and that he therefore hasn't justified his claim that for some purposes it's appropriate to say that the US is not a lightly taxed country. (I'm sure tax per persion is more sensible than tax per parrot. It could hardly not be. But why not tax divided by sqrt(population), or tax divided by land area, or tax per corporation, or population / (GDP - tax), or a thousand other statistics that kinda-sorta measure tax relative to other things that might be somehow relevant? Mankiw really doesn't say.) > If you did an analysis of taxation that showed you could have higher tax yields without taxing a higher percentage of GDP, that'd be well worth knowing. Indeed it would. At high enough tax levels, it seems very likely that you can. What levels those are is highly debatable. Maybe Mankiw has some evidence that it's true even at the US's tax levels. But Mankiw hasn't offered any such analysis or evidence, or pointed at anyone else's analysis, or explained why such an analysis would make it appropriate to take tax/population as a measure of how highly taxed a country is rather than tax/GDP, or anything. > Actually, the largest reason taxes reduce GDP is[...] that the government doesn't invest in the same thing as individuals. Presumably you mean it's that the government invests in less growth-producing things than individuals do. That might be true, though again neither you nor Mankiw offer any evidence. (In particular I am not convinced either that politicians determine public spending to maximize their chance of being re-elected, or that spending chosen to maximize their re-election chances would generally produce less growth than spending chosen to maximize whatever average taxpayers want -- which isn't by any means only investment growth, since people don't typically invest all their income and don't put all their investments into maximum-expected-growth assets.) > The purpose of taxation is to increase the revenues that the taxing authority collects. Nope. (If you'd said "the meaning of taxation is ..." you'd be nearer the truth, but only by virtue of saying something content-free.) Of course it's a simplification to say that the purpose of taxation is to benefit the public; let's say, instead, "the point of taxation", acknowledge that yes, some tax revenues are in fact spent on things that don't benefit the public, acknowledge that you're not going to agree with my opinion that on the whole democratic governments do tend to try to spend tax revenues with that purpose and I'm not going to agree with (I'm guessing) yours that all governments are basically kleptocracies that use tax revenues only to benefit the politicians, and move on. > another number we can look at and take into consideration. Just like the tax revenue per parrot. Seriously: presenting another number, per se, is trivial and uninteresting. What would make it interesting would be if Mankiw offered grounds for thinking that his number is a good one to look at. He didn't.