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I would love to read some accessible information on this - how the models can be so trustworthy. I sort of reluctantly accept climate change, and I generally su
by adam-a 10y ago
I would love to read some accessible information on this - how the models can be so trustworthy. I sort of reluctantly accept climate change, and I generally support environmentally positive politics, for a host of reasons. But when I see graphs like this[1] from the IPCC I can't help but think that predicting 100 years in the future from 100 years of data is never going to be very reliable. What kind of validation have these models had? Surely they are not just fitted to the past 100 years?
1: https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/figure-spm-5.html https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/figure-...
- akuchling 10y agoA Vast Machine: Computer Models, Climate Data, and the Politics of Global Warming is a history of climate models and data, published by MIT Press. https://www.amazon.com/Vast-Machine-Computer-Politics-Infrastructures/dp/0262518635/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1471439919&sr=8-1&keywords=a+vast+machine https://www.amazon.com/Vast-Machine-Computer-Politics-Infras...
- JoBrad 10y agoThis is a great site that has links to outside resources. https://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php https://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php