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You're conflating technology that is available today with challenges which occur only after we have AGI. When those are different problems with different time h
by johngalt 10y ago
You're conflating technology that is available today with challenges which occur only after we have AGI. When those are different problems with different time horizons.
Post AGI. Obviously robots do everything. Post AGI it is the technology singularity as we have recursively improving superintelligences. Unemployment in this scenario is a trivial issue. Strong friendly AI would solve so many problems that unemployment would be one of those historical footnotes. Concerning ourselves with 'what happens when computers are better than humans at everything?' is akin to asking 'what should we do after the rapture?'
Prior to AGI, human + computer is the norm for most tasks. Similar to my banker example. You'll have specialized computers augmenting human productivity. In each case driving costs down and in most cases usage up. Specialized computers will make it easier for humans to do jobs they couldn't do before. Even if truck driving becomes fully automated there will still be humans in the loop somewhere. It will just mean a more efficient ratio of man hours per ton shipped. Which is not a fundamentally different issue than dealing with any other efficiency increase.
> your logic is skipping over the fact that computers don't have hard limits like humans do. If a computer can't do something, just give it a handful of engineers, and some time, and it'll eventually be able to do that. Once a computer gets better at a task than humans, there's no reason to ever go back to humans. It's a one way street.
I don't deny that. Merely that we've been headed down this one way street for a while and the houses keep getting nicer. I keep hearing that Efficiency Avenue will take us towards human suffering, but we've been heading this direction for centuries and never arrived there. In fact everything about what we have seen so far says we should travel as fast as we can down that one way street.