People who make good forecasts are not polarized enough for punditry. The authors of the book Superforecasting : The Science of Prediction have done research i

People who make good forecasts are not polarized enough for punditry. The authors of the book Superforecasting : The Science of Prediction have done research in this area. And a website [2] Nate Silver also tells a similar story in his book. He proved it too, by turning pundit. [1] https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-Philip-Tetlock/dp/0804136696 https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-P... [2] http://www.superforecasting.com/ http://www.superforecasting.com/