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I tend to agree with the article in general, which has implications that run counter to that piece of advice. Namely, that current success is not necessarily a
by fisherjeff 10y ago
I tend to agree with the article in general, which has implications that run counter to that piece of advice. Namely, that current success is not necessarily a predictor of future success.
- trevyn 10y agoCan you think of a stronger predictor of future success? ;)
- andrewprock 10y agoOf course. In a world where success is due in large part to random events, it's easy to come up with better predictors about whether someone will be successful in the future.
- oldmanjay 10y agoSure, family money.
- dredmorbius 10y agoA causal mechanism that seems likely to propogate to the future. Winning the lottery can lead to present success. Having one once, in a fair game (and that's a valid condition to check) is exceptionally unlikely to lead to future success. OTOH, pursing a line of work in which you haven't yet succeeded, but others have, may be an area in which lack of present success doesn't preclude future success. I tend to look to process with more emphasis than outcome.
- yompers888 10y agoWe might have to define success