Finding the right balance is very important. Projecting confidence is important for leadership, and winning arguments. Overconfidence is a fatal bias. [0] In s

Finding the right balance is very important. Projecting confidence is important for leadership, and winning arguments. Overconfidence is a fatal bias. [0] In some fields (Sales?) overconfidence can spur achievement. In many others it's dangerous. ("The US housing market will never drop", "We can make up the time by efficient testing", "Their party will never nominate that clown.") [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overconfidence_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overconfidence_effect