After-the fact probability analysis is weird, but the actual predictable risk (before Apollo 1) was certainly less than 1/12, although that's what the hindsight

After-the fact probability analysis is weird, but the actual predictable risk (before Apollo 1) was certainly less than 1/12, although that's what the hindsight risk for Apollo primary crews was. Of course, it was 0 for all the crews after the first...