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> Self driving cars are going to be here for consumers by 2020. I doubt this is true, at least if you're talking about all-weather driving. Not even the optimi
by _delirium 10y ago
> Self driving cars are going to be here for consumers by 2020.
I doubt this is true, at least if you're talking about all-weather driving. Not even the optimistic researchers I've chatted with are that optimistic; this timeframe would require all-weather driving to be basically solid at the research level by 2018 or so, which is not totally impossible but unlikely. Maybe if it's limited to Uber Phoenix, though.
- stale2002 10y agoAll weather no. But a partial roll-out still makes Uber a lot of money. Self driving cars that work 90% of the day means Uber gets 90% of potential profits, and continues to use human drivers for the other 10% "surge" time period.
- Hydraulix989 10y agoTo be fair, a lot of the self-driving car testing and research thus far has been done on rather linear freeways in immaculate California weather. It's pretty easy to become overoptimistic. At least, Uber ATC is in Pittsburgh, where it can become more grounded in reality by potholes, haphazard construction, thin windy two-way roads without markings or lanes, and unexpected acute precipitation.