Much of probability is also counterintuitive and challenging to all human minds: for example, here is the classic Newton-Pepys Problem http://www.datagenetics.

Much of probability is also counterintuitive and challenging to all human minds: for example, here is the classic Newton-Pepys Problem http://www.datagenetics.com/blog/february12014/ http://www.datagenetics.com/blog/february12014/ and here is further discussion about the logical error Newton made in his solution: http://arxiv.org/pdf/math/0701089.pdf http://arxiv.org/pdf/math/0701089.pdf ("In 1693, Isaac Newton answered a query from Samuel Pepys about a problem involving dice. Newton’s analysis is discussed and attention is drawn to an error he made.")