It's arrogant to think one can predict any single thing in the world, no matter how successful you are. You could say the same thing ("Given all the informatio

It's arrogant to think one can predict any single thing in the world, no matter how successful you are. You could say the same thing ("Given all the information those people have back then, the best decision would have been to sell") about Apple right before Steve Jobs came back and turned it around. In fact here's what Michael Dell famously said: ("What would I do? I'd shut it down and give the money back to the shareholders")