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Hrm, hang on a second. That actually makes it sound substantially less impressive. There are five million people playing this year on ESPN alone. Even if we ass
by houseabsolute 17y ago
Hrm, hang on a second. That actually makes it sound substantially less impressive. There are five million people playing this year on ESPN alone. Even if we assume that only a quarter of them have guesses that are as predictive as the seed numbers, that would mean we'd only have to go a decade or so before we'd get a situation like this.
- qeorge 17y agoESPN is a great example. This year no one predicted even the first round correctly, much less the first two. In fact, only 3 people out of 5 million got only one game wrong in the first round. The main problem with your logic is that most people make the same choices. For example, only 1% of ESPN brackets had Cornell surviving the first 2 rounds this year, while 73% thought Kansas would make the championship. To my knowledge, no one on ESPN.com has ever predicted all 65 games in the first 2 rounds correctly.
- houseabsolute 17y ago> The main problem with your logic is that most people make the same choices. You are right, my analysis is terrible. Boom, inferiority admitted.
- WarDekar 17y agoThat would indeed be tough, considering there are only 48 games in the first 2 rounds.