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Note that fatalities can include both drivers and passengers. I'm also not sure where you got 80M active drivers from, I know there are around 200M licensed dri
by sbov 10y ago
Note that fatalities can include both drivers and passengers. I'm also not sure where you got 80M active drivers from, I know there are around 200M licensed drivers but couldn't find any stats on active drivers.
On a yearly basis, since 2000, in the US, supposedly there have been anywhere from 1.5 to 1.08 fatalities per 100 million miles traveled by vehicle. That seems like a much more solid number to calculate your odds based on, but I don't know how to offhand.
- benkuykendall 10y agoOk, let's use that 1E-8 fatalities per vehicle miles driven. If you commute 50 miles a day 250 days a year for 50 years, we get a total of 1E-8 x 50 x 250 x 50 = 0.006 fatalities, or a 0.6% probability of death.