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I think this post can be summed up as "With experience comes the ability to make intelligent educated guesses with limited information". Seems to me that once

I think this post can be summed up as "With experience comes the ability to make intelligent educated guesses with limited information". Seems to me that once you reach a certain level of mastery, any chance event that happens can be seen in the light of previous similar chance events, and so that person with the most experience is able to say "this is likely how things will go from here" and move forward. At least, that's been my experience. When I was green, and something changed, I had no idea what to do. Now, when there's something that changes, it barely slows me down. I've seen it all, I've heard it all, and at the end of the day, everything has a solution. At least in software.

run4yourlives 17y ago
The key is that there are some individuals that can be masters at their craft and still doubt themselves, and some that know nothing and are able to create new realities. Subject matter knowledge is only a part of the equation. The ability to "think on you feet" - and to do so correctly for often than not - is one of the most undervalued yet important skills of modern life. It affects everyone from Generals to Data Entry clerks, and will probably mean the difference between a meteoric rise up the success ladder and questioning why that other guy got promoted over you.