5 ms·
The article discusses the interplay between polling and betting. But there's something that has changed recently, and that is polling. It's becoming very diffic
by PhantomGremlin 10y ago
The article discusses the interplay between polling and betting. But there's something that has changed recently, and that is polling. It's becoming very difficult to do polling. The response rate is under 1%, which IMO completely undermines the results.
Check out this article in Wired: http://www.wired.com/2016/06/civis-election-polling-clinton-sanders-trump/ http://www.wired.com/2016/06/civis-election-polling-clinton-...
Response rates to phone polls:
1980 72%
2000 61%
2012 5.5%
2016 0.9%
Good luck obtaining accurate data if fewer than 1 in 100 people answer the phone when you call them.