Exactly. Someone not well informed of probability will often assume that it is 99%[0] but the actual probability can be much lower than that when the actual inc

Exactly. Someone not well informed of probability will often assume that it is 99%[0] but the actual probability can be much lower than that when the actual incidence of drug use is low. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prosecutor%27s_fallacy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prosecutor%27s_fallacy