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The examples around terrorism undermine the article. Anyone paying attention, presumably including politicians, knows why Islamic terrorists want to attack the
by sevenless 10y ago
The examples around terrorism undermine the article. Anyone paying attention, presumably including politicians, knows why Islamic terrorists want to attack the US; the problem is the political difficulty of clearly stating the facts in public without being accused of being unpatriotic or of attacking America's allies.
Likewise, the article glibly states all experts oppose protectionism, but in the words of Ha-Joon Chang, "Almost all of today's rich countries used tariff protection and subsidies to develop their industries. Interestingly, Britain and the USA, the two countries that are supposed to have reached the summit of the world economy through their free-market, free-trade policy, are actually the ones that had most aggressively used protection and subsidies." (http://www.paecon.net/PAEtexts/Chang1.htm http://www.paecon.net/PAEtexts/Chang1.htm) Appeals to authority don't work; economists cannot be expected to be systematically unbiased, if their funding tends to depend on particular economic theories having political currency.
The problem isn't that expertise is impossible, it's political structures which push objective inquiry aside. "It is very difficult to get a man to understand something if his salary depends on him not understanding it."
The global warming "debate" also backs this point up. There is no doubt the experts are reliable, that global warming exists and is a serious threat. But we are unable to come up with an effective policy response, because fossil fuel companies can buy an opposition.
> If we want to test whether fiscal stimulus cures recessions, we cannot prepare two identical societies, with identical recessions, and then apply fiscal stimulus in on
e society but not the other. Nor can we take a large collection of societies with recessions and randomly assign half to receive fiscal stimulus and half to receive no fiscal stimulus.
There is no reason that randomized controlled trials of economic policy could not be done on particular regions, and this is occasionally done already (http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2013/12/randomised-control-trials http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2013/12/randomis...). It's really a bit outrageous that we'd introduce far-reaching economic changes with less evidential support than for a new brand of athlete's foot cream.
- alexandercrohde 10y ago>> Anyone paying attention, presumably including politicians, knows why Islamic terrorists want to attack the US; the problem is the political difficulty of clearly stating the facts in public without being accused of being unpatriotic or of attacking America's allies. Source?
- Chris2048 10y ago>> the problem is the political difficulty of clearly stating the facts > Source? Gitmo, The iraq war, backing of Israel, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_War_documents_leak https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_War_documents_leak
- hnal943 10y agoWhy do terrorist want to attack France? Turkey? Is it the same reason they want to attack the US or are they all different?
- Chris2048 10y agoMaybe - French troop seem pretty active in joint US military activities.
- ktRolster 10y agoYour comment represents your own biases rather than reality. For example, you said: >Appeals to authority don't work.... >There is no doubt the experts are reliable
- sevenless 10y agoAppeals to authority don't work in the specific case of economists, for the reasons I mentioned.
- ktRolster 10y agoeconomists cannot be expected to be systematically unbiased, if their funding tends to depend on particular economic theories having political currency. The same can be said of any group of scientists largely funded by the government. You chose the group whose conclusions you disagree with.