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There were 1.07 fatalities every 100M automobile miles last year. Compare that to 1 fatality in 130M autopilot miles. This is not going to be the last fatality
by rdlecler1 10y ago
There were 1.07 fatalities every 100M automobile miles last year. Compare that to 1 fatality in 130M autopilot miles. This is not going to be the last fatality we see but it's not clear that autopilot is any worse than a human and statistically this still looks to be the safer option.
- unfamiliar 10y agoFor comparison, that is 1.391 fatalities per 130M automobile miles. So 0.391 people were saved by Tesla, but that doesn't account for the fact that this is a new, eerie technology and that people are possibly using it in the safest of conditions until they get comfortable with it. Also is the average Tesla driver really representative of the overall population, i.e. would Tesla drivers have had that many crashes without Autopilot? How much of that 0.391 is due to the safety features of the car itself, and not the success of the autopilot system? At any rate, there isn't much room for error in those numbers, and considering the above this almost looks like evidence that Autopilot is less safe than normal driving.
- kartD 10y agoBut that's 1.07/100M in all conditions, while the 1 in 130M is in ideal conditions (suited for autopilot), so I doubt this is a valid comparison.
- contravariant 10y ago>but it's not clear that autopilot is any worse than a human Well no, that would constitute an immediate and utter failure. More importantly though it's not significantly better than a human, which is disappointing, especially since they'd already limited the system to the simplest possible use case.