According to the numbers there's a 25% probability it would have taken more than 130 million miles before the first fatality, assuming an average of 1 fatality

According to the numbers there's a 25% probability it would have taken more than 130 million miles before the first fatality, assuming an average of 1 fatality every 94 million miles. That's ignoring the fact that Tesla's autopilot might only be used in situations with a relatively low average number of fatalities per million miles.