3 ms·
Percentage of high school seniors who participated in various school-related extracurricular activities, by sex: 1990 and 2001 - https://nces.ed.gov/programs/y
by pizza 10y ago
Percentage of high school seniors who participated in various school-related extracurricular activities, by sex: 1990 and 2001
- https://nces.ed.gov/programs/youthindicators/Indicators.asp?PubPageNumber=34 https://nces.ed.gov/programs/youthindicators/Indicators.asp?...
If artistic ability has a strong influence on intelligence compared to athleticism, then P(intelligent | artistic) >= P(intelligent | athletic). We know that P(athletic) > P(artistic) from the data.
By Bayes' theorem:
P(intelligent | artistic) = P(artistic | intelligent) * P(intelligent) / P(artistic).
P(intelligent | athletic) = P(athletic | intelligent) * P(intelligent) / P(athletic).
Ignoring P(intelligent) for a sec, we find
P(intelligent | artistic) ~ P(artistic | intelligent) / P(artistic)
P(intelligent | athletic) ~ P(athletic | intelligent) / P(athletic)
If we accept the assumption that artistic ability is a bigger influence, then
P(artistic | intelligent) / P(artistic) > P(athletic | intelligent) / P(athletic)
Because P(athletic) > P(artistic),
P(artistic | intelligent) > P(artistic) * P(athletic | intelligent) / P(athletic)
P(artistic)/P(athletic) must be less than 1, so we get
P(artistic | intelligent) > P(athletic | intelligent)
I'm not really sure where I was headed with this, but it was neat to think about. If anyone spots an error please just correct me.
- mathattack 10y agoBut did you run the numbers? I can't go through the link.
- monomyth 10y agoThere is nothing in the data that says that participation is exclusive, "other" bucket is larger than "performing arts". So the whole thing is invalid. But most importantly participation doesn't mean ability. There are plenty of people in both camps who clearly are not able.