6 ms·
Using logistic regression that way isn't going to do much, since each city has a single nonzero independent variable. I'd try something like this, stats wise.
by cschmidt 10y ago
Using logistic regression that way isn't going to do much, since each city has a single nonzero independent variable.
I'd try something like this, stats wise. It is just 10 minutes of effort, but accounts for the different sample sizes. I added one success and failure to each city, i.e. Laplace smoothing. Then I computed a 95% percent confidence interval for each, using binom.test in R (i.e. binom.test(8,9)$conf.int). I sorted by the lower bound.
If the lower bound of one city is above the upper bound of another, then you can say it is a better place, using your metric.
x+1 n+2 lb x1/n2 ub
Mountain View, CA USA 144 209 0.621 0.689 0.751
South San Francisco, CA 33 44 0.597 0.750 0.868
Cambridge, MA USA 103 173 0.518 0.595 0.669
Chapel Hill, NC USA 8 9 0.518 0.889 0.997
Waltham, MA USA 61 101 0.502 0.604 0.700
Cupertino, CA USA 38 60 0.499 0.633 0.754
Foster City, CA USA 16 22 0.498 0.727 0.893
San Mateo, CA USA 88 159 0.473 0.553 0.632
San Jose, CA USA 112 208 0.468 0.538 0.608
New York, NY USA 399 809 0.458 0.493 0.528
San Bruno, CA USA 14 20 0.457 0.700 0.881
Palo Alto, CA USA 128 246 0.456 0.520 0.584
Itasca, IL USA 8 10 0.444 0.800 0.975
Westford, MA USA 8 10 0.444 0.800 0.975
Los Gatos, CA USA 14 21 0.430 0.667 0.854
Arlington, VA USA 15 23 0.427 0.652 0.836
Aliso Viejo, CA USA 16 25 0.425 0.640 0.820
Branford, CT USA 6 7 0.421 0.857 0.996
Milpitas, CA USA 22 37 0.421 0.595 0.752
Alameda, CA USA 10 14 0.419 0.714 0.916
Redwood City, CA USA 64 126 0.417 0.508 0.598
Austin, TX USA 115 242 0.411 0.475 0.540
Berlin, 16 DEU 16 27 0.388 0.593 0.776
Chelmsford, MA USA 9 13 0.386 0.692 0.909
Portland, OR USA 36 71 0.386 0.507 0.628
Tel Aviv, 5 ISR 38 76 0.383 0.500 0.617
Pasadena, CA USA 21 38 0.383 0.553 0.714
Fremont, CA USA 40 81 0.381 0.494 0.607
Boulder, CO USA 40 85 0.361 0.471 0.582
Morrisville, NC USA 20 38 0.358 0.526 0.690
Marlborough, MA USA 16 29 0.357 0.552 0.736
El Segundo, CA USA 10 16 0.354 0.625 0.848
Sterling, VA USA 9 14 0.351 0.643 0.872
Richardson, TX USA 18 34 0.351 0.529 0.702
Bethesda, MD USA 18 34 0.351 0.529 0.702
Burlington, ON CAN 6 8 0.349 0.750 0.968
Oak Brook, IL USA 6 8 0.349 0.750 0.968
Solana Beach, CA USA 6 8 0.349 0.750 0.968
Venice, CA USA 8 12 0.349 0.667 0.901
Belmont, CA USA 8 12 0.349 0.667 0.901
Vancouver, BC CAN 45 101 0.347 0.446 0.548
Atlanta, GA USA 58 140 0.332 0.414 0.501
Montreal, QC CAN 29 64 0.328 0.453 0.583
London, H9 GBR 131 358 0.316 0.366 0.418
Kfar Saba, 2 ISR 8 13 0.316 0.615 0.861
Ottawa, ON CAN 24 53 0.316 0.453 0.596
Irvine, CA USA 44 108 0.314 0.407 0.506
Mclean, VA USA 15 30 0.313 0.500 0.687
Minneapolis, MN USA 23 51 0.311 0.451 0.597
Beverly Hills, CA USA 10 18 0.308 0.556 0.785
Toronto, ON CAN 60 157 0.306 0.382 0.463
Surry Hills, 2 AUS 6 9 0.299 0.667 0.925
Kitchener, ON CAN 6 9 0.299 0.667 0.925
Doylestown, PA USA 5 7 0.290 0.714 0.963
Ames, IA USA 5 7 0.290 0.714 0.963
Salt Lake City, UT USA 27 66 0.290 0.409 0.537
Irving, TX USA 10 19 0.289 0.526 0.756
Gaithersburg, MD USA 10 19 0.289 0.526 0.756
Tokyo, 40 JPN 24 58 0.286 0.414 0.551
Gent, 8 BEL 4 5 0.284 0.800 0.995
Fuzhou Shi, 3 CHN 4 5 0.284 0.800 0.995
Lake Forest, IL USA 4 5 0.284 0.800 0.995
Sunrise, FL USA 4 5 0.284 0.800 0.995
Fredericton, NS CAN 4 5 0.284 0.800 0.995
Princeton, NJ USA 11 22 0.282 0.500 0.718
Baltimore, MD USA 15 33 0.281 0.455 0.636
Paris, A8 FRA 57 161 0.280 0.354 0.433
Wilmington, DE USA 9 17 0.278 0.529 0.770
San Antonio, TX USA 14 31 0.273 0.452 0.640
Beijing, 22 CHN 46 130 0.272 0.354 0.442
Oakland, CA USA 16 37 0.271 0.432 0.605
Hamburg, 4 DEU 12 26 0.266 0.462 0.666
Westminster, CO USA 8 15 0.266 0.533 0.787
Philadelphia, PA USA 20 50 0.264 0.400 0.548
Houston, TX USA 36 101 0.264 0.356 0.458
Cambridge, C3 GBR 18 44 0.263 0.409 0.568
Ann Arbor, MI USA 14 33 0.255 0.424 0.608
- cschmidt 10y agocont .... Washington, DC USA 20 52 0.253 0.385 0.530 Orem, UT USA 7 13 0.251 0.538 0.808 Dallas, TX USA 30 86 0.249 0.349 0.459 Mississauga, ON CAN 8 16 0.247 0.500 0.753 Kennesaw, GA USA 5 8 0.245 0.625 0.915 Arlington Heights, IL 5 8 0.245 0.625 0.915 West Hollywood, CA USA 9 19 0.244 0.474 0.711 Los Angeles, CA USA 56 180 0.244 0.311 0.384 Helsinki, 13 FIN 13 32 0.237 0.406 0.594 Jacksonville, FL USA 10 23 0.232 0.435 0.655 La Jolla, CA USA 10 23 0.232 0.435 0.655 Charlotte, NC USA 14 36 0.231 0.389 0.565 Oslo, 12 NOR 9 20 0.231 0.450 0.685 Madrid, 29 ESP 16 43 0.230 0.372 0.533 Plano, TX USA 14 37 0.225 0.378 0.552 Zug, 24 CHE 4 6 0.223 0.667 0.957 Pittsburgh, PA USA 27 85 0.221 0.318 0.428 Bangalore, 19 IND 20 61 0.213 0.328 0.460 Petaluma, CA USA 7 15 0.213 0.467 0.734 Tampa, FL USA 14 39 0.212 0.359 0.528 Delft, 11 NLD 5 9 0.212 0.556 0.863 Costa Mesa, CA USA 5 9 0.212 0.556 0.863 Newtown, PA USA 5 9 0.212 0.556 0.863 Boxborough, MA USA 5 9 0.212 0.556 0.863 Munchen, 2 DEU 6 12 0.211 0.500 0.789 Copenhagen, 17 DNK 15 43 0.210 0.349 0.509 Brooklyn, NY USA 15 43 0.210 0.349 0.509 Newton, MA USA 9 22 0.207 0.409 0.636 Stockholm, 26 SWE 17 52 0.203 0.327 0.471 Berkeley, CA USA 10 26 0.202 0.385 0.594 Buffalo, NY USA 7 16 0.198 0.438 0.701 St Louis, MO USA 12 34 0.197 0.353 0.535 Dublin, 7 IRL 22 74 0.197 0.297 0.415 Odense, 21 DNK 3 4 0.194 0.750 0.994 West Des Moines, IA USA 3 4 0.194 0.750 0.994 Notting Hill, 7 AUS 3 4 0.194 0.750 0.994 Mi Wuk Village, CA USA 3 4 0.194 0.750 0.994 Seoul, 11 KOR 11 31 0.192 0.355 0.546 Minnetonka, MN USA 6 13 0.192 0.462 0.749 Abingdon, K2 GBR 6 13 0.192 0.462 0.749 Zurich, 25 CHE 8 20 0.191 0.400 0.639 Charleston, SC USA 5 10 0.187 0.500 0.813 Roncade, 20 ITA 4 7 0.184 0.571 0.901 Burnaby, BC CAN 8 21 0.181 0.381 0.616 Annapolis, MD USA 6 14 0.177 0.429 0.711 Gurgaon, 10 IND 7 18 0.173 0.389 0.643 Raleigh, NC USA 13 44 0.168 0.295 0.452 Halifax, NS CAN 5 11 0.167 0.455 0.766 Orlando, FL USA 9 27 0.165 0.333 0.540 Shenzhen, 30 CHN 11 36 0.163 0.306 0.481 Dubai, 3 ARE 6 15 0.163 0.400 0.677 New Haven, CT USA 6 15 0.163 0.400 0.677 Indianapolis, IN USA 10 32 0.161 0.313 0.500 Stuttgart, 1 DEU 5 12 0.152 0.417 0.723 Addison, TX USA 5 12 0.152 0.417 0.723 Blackrock, 7 IRL 3 5 0.147 0.600 0.947 San Marcos, TX USA 3 5 0.147 0.600 0.947 Pune, 16 IND 3 5 0.147 0.600 0.947 Vienna, 9 AUT 8 26 0.143 0.308 0.518 Newport Beach, CA USA 7 22 0.139 0.318 0.549 Schaumburg, IL USA 4 9 0.137 0.444 0.788 Istanbul, 34 TUR 5 14 0.128 0.357 0.649 Wilmington, MA USA 5 14 0.128 0.357 0.649 Sao Paulo, 2 BRA 10 40 0.127 0.250 0.412 Prague, 52 CZE 4 10 0.122 0.400 0.738 Espoo, 13 FIN 4 10 0.122 0.400 0.738 Plymouth, MN USA 5 15 0.118 0.333 0.616 Longmont, CO USA 5 15 0.118 0.333 0.616 Cleveland, OH USA 10 43 0.118 0.233 0.386 Rochester, NY USA 6 21 0.113 0.286 0.522 Rio De Janeiro, 21 BRA 5 16 0.110 0.313 0.587 Lucerne Valley, CA USA 5 17 0.103 0.294 0.560 Utrecht, 9 NLD 3 7 0.099 0.429 0.816 Allentown, PA USA 3 8 0.085 0.375 0.755 Melbourne, 7 AUS 5 22 0.078 0.227 0.454 Charlottesville, VA USA 4 15 0.078 0.267 0.551 Clearwater, FL USA 3 9 0.075 0.333 0.701 Columbus, OH USA 6 32 0.072 0.188 0.364 Santa Ana, CA USA 4 17 0.068 0.235 0.499 Edison, NJ USA 3 11 0.060 0.273 0.610 Moscow, 48 RUS 14 137 0.057 0.102 0.166 Netanya, 2 ISR 3 12 0.055 0.250 0.572 Lod, 2 ISR 2 6 0.043 0.333 0.777 Lawrenceville, GA USA 2 6 0.043 0.333 0.777 Champaign, IL USA 2 7 0.037 0.286 0.710 Blacksburg, VA USA 2 7 0.037 0.286 0.710 Golden, CO USA 2 7 0.037 0.286 0.710 Guangdong, 5 CHN 2 7 0.037 0.286 0.710 Quebec, QC CAN 3 18 0.036 0.167 0.414 Memphis, TN USA 3 18 0.036 0.167 0.414 Liverpool, H8 GBR 2 8 0.032 0.250 0.651 Burbank, CA USA 2 8 0.032 0.250 0.651 Galway, 10 IRL 2 9 0.028 0.222 0.600 Kista, 26 SWE 2 10 0.025 0.200 0.556 Manchester, I2 GBR 2 10 0.025 0.200 0.556 Orsay, A8 FRA 1 4 0.006 0.250 0.806 Cherry Hill, NJ USA 1 4 0.006 0.250 0.806 Mountain, WI USA 1 4 0.006 0.250 0.806 Pittsburg, CA USA 1 4 0.006 0.250 0.806 Eatontown, NJ USA 1 5 0.005 0.200 0.716 Superior, WI USA 1 5 0.005 0.200 0.716 Laguna Beach, CA USA 1 5 0.005 0.200 0.716 Columbia, SC USA 1 5 0.005 0.200 0.716 Gilbert, AZ USA 1 5 0.005 0.200 0.716 City Of Industry, CA 1 6 0.004 0.167 0.641 Tacoma, WA USA 1 6 0.004 0.167 0.641 Toledo, OH USA 1 6 0.004 0.167 0.641 Laval, QC CAN 1 6 0.004 0.167 0.641 Napa, CA USA 1 6 0.004 0.167 0.641 Owings Mills, MD USA 1 7 0.004 0.143 0.579 Cedar Park, TX USA 1 7 0.004 0.143 0.579 New Orleans, LA USA 1 7 0.004 0.143 0.579 Morgan Hill, CA USA 1 7 0.004 0.143 0.579 Newark, NJ USA 1 8 0.003 0.125 0.527 Sausalito, CA USA 1 8 0.003 0.125 0.527 Livermore, CA USA 1 9 0.003 0.111 0.482 Centennial, CO USA 1 10 0.003 0.100 0.445 Tallinn, 1 EST 1 10 0.003 0.100 0.445 Little Rock, AR USA 1 11 0.002 0.091 0.413 Jakarta, 4 IDN 1 11 0.002 0.091 0.413 Porto Alegre, 23 BRA 1 11 0.002 0.091 0.413 Saint Petersburg, RUS 1 12 0.002 0.083 0.385