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You are tacitly forgetting Scotland and Northern Ireland leaving the UK soon... very soon while being welcomed into the EU and the major impact that will have i
by jbmorgado 10y ago
You are tacitly forgetting Scotland and Northern Ireland leaving the UK soon... very soon while being welcomed into the EU and the major impact that will have in British economy.
- broodbucket 10y agoScotland and NI leaving are not "when", but "if", and even discussing "when", it is not "soon" and definitely not "very soon". Scotland has no history of maintaining a strong independent economy and by the time they (theoretically) leave the UK and manage to join the EU, the rest of the UK will have comfortably established an economic position without the EU.
- jbmorgado 10y agoNone of the OP points was about "when", but just some theoretic "if". And Scotland and NI don't need to maintain "a strong independent economy"... they will be part of EU and the common market, that's the all point.
- dragonwriter 10y agoIf Scotland leaves the UK over Brexit, maintaining continuity in the EU will clearly be the goal, which means the timeline must be shorter than the two year timeline for Britain to leave the EU (the same would be true with NI, but that's less likely to happen; pro-EU Republicans want a union with Ireland that neither Ireland nor unionists -- pro-EU or otherwise -- want, and unionists still have a majority and the pro-EU ones are still probably more pro-UK than anything else. Brexit may increase factional tensions in NI, but it's unlikely to directly or in the near term lead to a consensus on independence.)