The real question is: does flightcaster actually predict effectively? Would you be open to publishing the statistical analysis of your model so far? I'd certain

The real question is: does flightcaster actually predict effectively? Would you be open to publishing the statistical analysis of your model so far? I'd certainly love to take a look at this. I don't want to see the algorithms you are using, but it would be nice to compare your model using MDL or other information criterions to other more simplistic models (e.g. simple geometric distribution predictions), and analyse it using standard statistical model diagnostics.