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>, it would allow us to narrow down the number of possible outcomes of a given political situation. ... , it would be hugely beneficial to have something like t
by jasode 10y ago
>, it would allow us to narrow down the number of possible outcomes of a given political situation. ... , it would be hugely beneficial to have something like that for the general public to use though.
I know it sounds cynical but I don't think such a simulation tool would make any difference to convince the general public.
As a thought experiment, imagine if we had a computer simulation in the spirit of Conway's Game of Life[1] or Schelling's Segregation Model[2] to simulate the spread of viruses and breakdown of herd immunity when you have anti-vaccination parents. Showing that "evidence" to anti-vaxxers isn't going to change their minds because they distrust the "government" and "scientists". (E.g. "And who created that simulation?!? The government scientists who want to make our kids autistic!")
Same situation with Brexit. The big multinational companies favor the EU but the "little guy" sees his job getting threatened by immigrants. Asking everyday people to be scientific and weigh the "big picture" instead of being emotional about their immediate livelihoods isn't realistic.
[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conway%27s_Game_of_Life https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conway%27s_Game_of_Life
[2]http://www.natureincode.com/code/various/schelling.html http://www.natureincode.com/code/various/schelling.html
- back_beyond 10y agoQuestioning the accuracy and objectivity of such a simulation seems perfectly valid.
- nitrogen 10y agoSure, but doing so without a rational justification is not.