A lot will be determined by the decision of who is going to lead the conservatives now. To invoke Lisbon, someone is going to have to stand up with a strong pos

A lot will be determined by the decision of who is going to lead the conservatives now. To invoke Lisbon, someone is going to have to stand up with a strong positive vision. It's also in their interest to delay starting the process to allow time for other countries in the EU to start their own referenda. If the UK does actually go through with Brexit, whomever takes on this leadership role will have to court other countries in the EU to form a larger bloc before the UK's negotiations with the EU finalize. It's either that or accept a punitive deal from the EU.