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>However, it's possible a Trump presidency and fractured EU might lead to a perfect storm for some kind of global conflict in a few years. Despite the Brexit a
by jbigelow76 10y ago
>However, it's possible a Trump presidency and fractured EU might lead to a perfect storm for some kind of global conflict in a few years.
Despite the Brexit and its aftershocks I don't think the next non-Middle East related conflict will originate in Europe. But a Trump presidency coupled with some sort of "mishap" between the US and China in the South China Sea, that's the stuff of nightmares.
- pyre 10y agoI think that @foxylad's point about Russian opportunism with a weak / dissolving EU is a high possibility too.
- duncanawoods 10y agoMilitary balance is really about NATO not the EU. If NATO began to dissolve... yeah problems.
- guard-of-terra 10y agoI am Russian and nationalistic and I can tell you that there's enough low hanging fruits around Russia who are not in NATO. So weak EU might certainly lead to attemts at picking those fruit.
- duncanawoods 10y agoWhy? There is no EU based military coordination. Trade war EU, shooting war NATO. Balance of power games like missile shields in border states are in NATO's purview.
- guard-of-terra 10y agoI use "Weak EU" in the meaning of "dysfunctional states". If and when a large subset of NATO states are dysfunctional, it will definitely create opportunities. It's like with rot - rotten things don't stay put they spread rot around.