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The model was almost exactly spot on, while the bookies were still offering 6/4 on for remain at the time I originally posted. The betting market really was not
by danieltillett 10y ago
The model was almost exactly spot on, while the bookies were still offering 6/4 on for remain at the time I originally posted. The betting market really was not adjusting to the changing data and was way off on the real odds - this is quite rare.
I certainly hope that the people who made money off Chris’ model follow his suggestion and donate to the Jo Cox fund.
- eru 10y agoThe odds were advertised---but were they actually still accepting bids at these odds?
- danieltillett 10y agoI don’t know - they certainly were in my imaginary account :)