4 ms·
You're sort of right, in the way that by the time you know an individual, you have lots of more information about that person and it should give you a better pr
by MichaelGG 10y ago
You're sort of right, in the way that by the time you know an individual, you have lots of more information about that person and it should give you a better prediction of their behaviour than broad categories.
But to suggest it provides zero info is wrong. By knowing someone lives in San Francisco, you can adjust your probability that someone votes Democrat, for instance.
But with Islam, I see articles like this[1], which say "88% of Muslims in Egypt and 62% of Muslims in Pakistan favor the death penalty for people who leave the Muslim religion". So it seems fair to say if you know someone is from there, and they are Muslim, then there's a high probability they have those kinds of views. At least, as far as we can go off this survey. Am I misinterpreting this incorrectly?
1: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2013/05/01/64-percent-of-muslims-in-egypt-and-pakistan-support-the-death-penalty-for-leaving-islam/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2013/05/01...