Nice explanation. I agree with your point. It's not natural for most people to perform statistical judgements. It's not obvious that base rates matter even in t

Nice explanation. I agree with your point. It's not natural for most people to perform statistical judgements. It's not obvious that base rates matter even in the presence of evidence. It's true as well that we should not forget that intuitive impressions of evidence are often exaggerated. However, we would do well in not forgetting other biases like the Halo Effect that may at play during any interview process.