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I think No for both cases. Default monopolies can go out of favor very quickly, and new technologies can ramp up very quickly. On Facebook: Remember that Goog
by mathattack 10y ago
I think No for both cases. Default monopolies can go out of favor very quickly, and new technologies can ramp up very quickly.
On Facebook: Remember that Google got the whole world to sign up for Google Plus with their circles. They didn't do anything with it, but it was a clear sign that you can sign up a good portion of the internet.
On Google owning search, if Apple goes downmarket in the phone market, they could crowd Google out of search on the phone. Or there may be some other new paradigm - searching out of apps, with a non-Google choice winning. And if the search algorithm is MUCH better, it could win. Bing doesn't need to be 5% better - it would need to be 500% better.