The things I've thought about - a) Is it a single use nuclear device or mass use? US-Russia-China will be a mass use scenario and thats a game ender. a1) What

The things I've thought about - a) Is it a single use nuclear device or mass use? US-Russia-China will be a mass use scenario and thats a game ender. a1) What is the current chance of an accidental or sabotage internal use by any major country? b) What is the response to a someone like North Korea using a nuclear weapon? c) The probability of something occurring between either Pakistan-India or North Korea-South Korea in the next 20 years exceeds 50%. The Shia-Sunni thing could be a problem area too. d) Offshore rebalancing in the Middle East right now may be a study in removing nuclear-capable states deemed hostile. Any sort of region controlled by Islamist warlords can't build any sort of functional modern industry. The initial shock at capabilities was through looting, which ends when the source of lootable goods ends. e) A big expansion of public surveillance is already well on its way. Sensors get smaller, cheaper, probably expanding exponentially. You can kind of look at what MZ (formally Machine Zone) is publicizing as an example of live knowledge of an urban area. Vehicle delivery of anything illicit will become very difficult. I've mentioned before, it is possible there will be little to no private vehicle ownership within urban cores in the future. f) The barrier to entry for civilization ending nuclear will continue to remain high enough. The move away from nuclear to renewables will make it pretty explicit when a smaller country is trying to develop nuclear weapons. The most dangerous point of "idiot" proliferation was when the Soviet Union fell. g) The chemical and biological stuff is a big future concern with regards to production becoming easier. The most urgent thing is to solve the US-Russia-China issue. Based on the policy makers operating behind the scenes I expect relations will keep degrading. In some respects, as a democracy it is the citizen's fault for ignoring the problem. On the other hand there is total opacity of the strategic policies being implemented, so if they are even debated both sides are debating talking points which actually have zero basis on why certain decisions are being made.