I think both can be right. Ng and LeCun are talking about the real near future. Bostrom always came across as a speculative SF + philosophy kind of guy. Are the

I think both can be right. Ng and LeCun are talking about the real near future. Bostrom always came across as a speculative SF + philosophy kind of guy. Are there any specific critiques of his (and Yudkowsky/MIRI, Musk, etc.) arguments? I think the two claims are plausible: 1. AGI is imminent: 50 years or 500 years or more from now. This is not too unlikely given that the brain is just an information processing system. Emulating it is likely to happen sometime in the future. 2. Such an AGI will be all powerful because it is not limited by human flaws. Trivial or not, we will have to program it with "thou shalt not kill" type values.