4 ms·
> IMHO, Moore's Law will end in about 2019-2020. No exponential can go on forever. This will have huge ramifications for silicon valley. In what way? One probl
by seanwilson 10y ago
> IMHO, Moore's Law will end in about 2019-2020. No exponential can go on forever. This will have huge ramifications for silicon valley.
In what way? One problem seems to be that most consumers don't need super powerful computers anymore. Previously, the speed jumps were enabling you to do things you couldn't do before but now the speed increases are just making what you could do before a little snappier. We're seeing a lot more focus on miniaturisation (which does enable new use cases) and reducing power consuming as well.
- Retra 10y agoAre you kidding me? There are zillions of things our computers can't do today that would be absolutely fantastic if they were faster. You could have said the same thing in 1975 and it would have sounded just as silly. Example: Render a model of an entire real city in 3d, including interiors, to sub-centimeter resolution. Now take that and think up a trillion variations on the theme.
- CognitiveLens 10y agoYeah, more powerful computers allow us to actually automate the things that currently still require a human being to manage. Although @seanwilson is correct that almost no one needs a faster Excel, faster computers enable programs that automatically generate what Excel was being used to produce based on plain language specifications. That requires a big round trip to a monster server at the moment.
- seanwilson 10y agoWell I did say "most people". Developers and graphic designers benefit much more but I'd say casual users and business users are seeing vanishing benefits.
- petra 10y agoIf virtual reality works out(and a lot of money's riding on that), most consumers will need a lot of compute.
- seanwilson 10y agoYeah, VR has been a new and exciting development that will really promote a lot of upgrades.