3 ms·
TBH, I don't believe that to be true. Let's say you're a healthy 20-something that's been experiencing weakness in your hands. The doctor comes back and says
by zzalpha 10y ago
TBH, I don't believe that to be true.
Let's say you're a healthy 20-something that's been experiencing weakness in your hands. The doctor comes back and says "This could be either arthritis (5% chance), cancer (0.1% chance), or nothing at all (94.9% chance). Test X will rule out cancer and test Y will rule out arthritis, but they both have a false negative rate of 15% and a false positive rate of 15%, and each test will cost $1,000 to perform".
Now what do you do?
I would make the claim that performing either test would be irrational given the probabilities. But people aren't going to screw around with their health.
Your position also presumes that doctors know what the heck they're doing and can provide information to the patient that allows them to make an informed decision. This is meant as no disrespect to the profession at all, but the reality is medicine is a lot of guesswork. It's very normal for a doctor to prescribe a battery of tests, or trial medications, because all they can do is assemble hypotheses and then test them against the individual. I guarantee you, anyone with a chronic condition has heard something along the lines of: "Well, I don't know what that is, but let's try this drug and see if it helps".
This is fundamentally why I don't believe healthcare can work as a free market. A free market presumes rational actors and perfect information, and healthcare is the antithesis of those things.
- maxerickson 10y agoThere's plenty of tests that are less contrived. X-rays are done as a matter of course after treating a sprain. What would really be the costs of deferring them and only doing them when pain persists days later? Lots of people would not choose to defer them vs minimal risk, but lots of people probably would. I'm not a huge believer that health care should be a market but at the moment we at least are supposed to have some sort of market, so I'd like to see market mechanisms applied where it is sensible.
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- zzalpha 10y agoThere's plenty of tests that are less contrived. X-rays are done as a matter of course after treating a sprain. What would really be the costs of deferring them and only doing them when pain persists days later? Well, there's this (from http://www.foothealthfacts.org/Content.aspx?id=2827 http://www.foothealthfacts.org/Content.aspx?id=2827): "Patients with unrecognized ankle fractures have a high risk of developing infection, arthritis and foot deformities that may make it impossible to walk normally again." So what's your appetite for that risk?