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I agree. (see my edit). I would love to be even more wrong - to the point where the proposal outlined in the article is clearly viable. So, if anyone has soli

I agree. (see my edit). I would love to be even more wrong - to the point where the proposal outlined in the article is clearly viable. So, if anyone has solid numbers demonstrating that, please do share.

LNMNMMMC 10y ago
You missed the part about people under 21, that should cut off another ~25% from your estimate. Medicare + Medicaid + Social Security is well over 2 billion, so I think it's pretty close.
- mac01021 10y ago
  I tried to get rid of people under 21 by reducing the population from 320M to 300M, but I guess I should look and see what the actual numbers are.
  - ericd 10y ago
    "People under 21 years of age made up over a quarter of the U.S. population (27.1%)" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demography_of_the_United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demography_of_the_United_State...) So the population over 21 is about 230M.
    - mac01021 10y ago
      Hmm... That's a higher fraction than I expected. It could be much lower 20 years from now.
      - ericd 10y ago
        Yeah, very well could be if the birth rate drops or life expectancy keeps rising.