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That's why you're supposed to think about it. Technology advances -> Simulations exist -> We're either the first civilization in infinity or we're a simulation
by forthefuture 10y ago
That's why you're supposed to think about it.
Technology advances -> Simulations exist -> We're either the first civilization in infinity or we're a simulation.
It's possible we're the first civilization in infinity, and it's the simplest explanation given no additional information. However, just because something is true doesn't mean the probability of it being true is very low and just happened to end up that way. You can believe in both probability and reality.
- dragonwriter 10y ago> Technology advances -> Simulations exist -> We're either the first civilization in infinity or we're a simulation. Doesn't follow; there could be lots of civilizations in the same reality, so we could not be the first civilization, and still not be in a simulation. If simulations of the detail level of our universe are possible given the laws of nature governing the reality underlying everything, then either we are in the base reality or a subordinate reality (if such simualtions are not possible, we are definitively in the base reality.) The information we have provides very little basis for computing probabilities here: any estimate is just a projection of the biases of the person providing it. > However, just because something is true doesn't mean the probability of it being true is very low and just happened to end up that way. If something is true, it's probability is 1, by definition. (Something may have low probability based only on particular prior information, but that's a different story.)