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The same researchers probably think there will be no oil either, just like researchers thought there would be no oil today. 20 years ahead projections are alwa
by weddpros 10y ago
The same researchers probably think there will be no oil either, just like researchers thought there would be no oil today.
20 years ahead projections are always wrong, sometimes VERY wrong.
It's just another case of "X will kill jobs" where X could be steam machines, electricity, robots, whatever... In the 80s my dad who worked in the automotive industry told me I should study IT because robots would eventually replace men. Today I'd say he was wrong: it's good to be in IT because of the Internet and mobile revolutions, which have nothing to do with robots.
The only sure thing is that we can't predict the future accurately.
- dllthomas 10y agoOf course predictions can be wrong; that includes yours. Betting tremendous amounts that 60% of the population will be out of work in 20 years seems foolhardy to me. But so would be assuming that it can't happen. Building systems (and our understanding of how we can build systems) that can help, in those circumstances or others, seems like a good move.