The data there has the scores from ~5000 games played over the course of each season, and the model he links to also seems quite reasonable to me: http://blog.s

The data there has the scores from ~5000 games played over the course of each season, and the model he links to also seems quite reasonable to me: http://blog.smellthedata.com/2009/03/data-driven-march-madness-predictions.html http://blog.smellthedata.com/2009/03/data-driven-march-madne... Don't think of it as two data points. Think of it as two data sets.