3 ms·
Pascals Wager is about assuming the EV is infinite, not that it simply exists.
by Retra 10y ago
Pascals Wager is about assuming the EV is infinite, not that it simply exists.
- gruez 10y agoThat's why I said "like". They're both in that you're choosing the option with the +EV rather than the one that the evidence points to.
- mikeash 10y agoThe error in Pascal's Wager is assuming there are only two possibilities. Once you realize that there's the possibility of a God who, say, punishes all the faithful, the argument falls down. That's not the case here. There are actually only two alternatives.
- Retra 10y agoThe only reason you'd have +EV is if evidence suggested it to be so. You compute EV using evidence, and if you don't have any evidence, you don't have any EV at all.