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3) The magic behind this argument is the same as the magic behind lowering interest rates: cheaper capital results in more investment and more jobs. If you bel
by fovc 10y ago
3) The magic behind this argument is the same as the magic behind lowering interest rates: cheaper capital results in more investment and more jobs.
If you believe that corporations have a reasonable supply of projects they could fund, that on average funding these projects results in job-creation, and that these projects have varying levels of risk and return, then the argument follows. Based on these assumptions, there are likely to be many projects for which the risk/reward profile would suggest you fund them, except if you have to invest 40-50% more upfront just to repatriate your cash, the economics stop working. If you eliminate the tax, therefore, more of these projects will be funded and jobs will be created.
A reasonable follow-up question would be: how many jobs will be created? The $ at stake for the government is knowable I imagine, so it would be interesting to look at $/job or some such cost/benefit metric. This is getting too far down the toy model, but one answer might be: if the NPV of a project is >0, then 35% of that NPV is still positive, so the government should "fund" it by allowing the tax holiday (their discount rate is almost surely lower than everyone else's).
- greeneggs 10y agoGiving a tax holiday now means that no company will bring its cash back in the future. No CEO wants to bring back a ton of money only to have Congress pass another tax holiday the next year. That's what the 2004 repatriation tax holiday has led to: a few jobs at the moment, but a lot of lost jobs in the long term. Instead of tax holidays or jubilees, we should just institute a sensible tax policy.