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> Huh? That's not really true. Part of the reason the GOP is having such a hard time in the US right now is because minority populations are quickly starting to

> Huh? That's not really true. Part of the reason the GOP is having such a hard time in the US right now is because minority populations are quickly starting to rise in numbers and they don't vote Republican for any number of reasons. There's a shift underway. I think we'll see a repositioning of the GOP that will lead it to a majority in less than 10 years if not sooner. Trump's surprisingly high support from Latinos in the Primary is the first wave of this.

CarpetBench 10y ago
> There's a shift underway. I think we'll see a repositioning of the GOP that will lead it to a majority in less than 10 years if not sooner. I'd argue mostly the opposite. There's a shift underway, but I don't think it'll be to the GOP's benefit. Fiscal conservatives and social conservatives are slowly starting to realize they're very different and becoming irreconcilable platforms. You can see the fracturing already this election cycle. Repositioning, sure. Majority? I think that'll take quite some time while they figure out what they want to be. > Trump's surprisingly high support from Latinos in the Primary is the first wave of this. Err maybe in comparison to Ted Cruz, but it's not really a contest for the general even according to Fox News: http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/politics/2016/05/20/latinos-favor-clinton-over-trump-by-3-point-margin-fox-news-latino-poll-finds/ http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/politics/2016/05/20/latinos...
- golemotron 10y ago
  Wait and watch. There will be a thing called the GOP but it will not look like our current conception of the GOP. The conservative hand-wringing over Trump's complete indifference to the traditional platform is the first step in transformation. We'll always have a two party system in the US. What the parties stand for changes drastically over time. The thing I think most people don't get is that politics is never resolved. There will always be a fight. And in a two party system, no one party will stay in power more than a couple of election cycles. There's a homeostatic mechanism at play.
  - CarpetBench 10y ago
    I guess we'll have to agree to disagree :).
    - golemotron 10y ago
      Or we could bet on whether either party ever again has five term Presidential run. ;) It would be interesting either way.

CarpetBench 10y ago

> There's a shift underway. I think we'll see a repositioning of the GOP that will lead it to a majority in less than 10 years if not sooner. I'd argue mostly the opposite. There's a shift underway, but I don't think it'll be to the GOP's benefit. Fiscal conservatives and social conservatives are slowly starting to realize they're very different and becoming irreconcilable platforms. You can see the fracturing already this election cycle. Repositioning, sure. Majority? I think that'll take quite some time while they figure out what they want to be. > Trump's surprisingly high support from Latinos in the Primary is the first wave of this. Err maybe in comparison to Ted Cruz, but it's not really a contest for the general even according to Fox News: http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/politics/2016/05/20/latinos-favor-clinton-over-trump-by-3-point-margin-fox-news-latino-poll-finds/ http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/politics/2016/05/20/latinos...

golemotron 10y ago
Wait and watch. There will be a thing called the GOP but it will not look like our current conception of the GOP. The conservative hand-wringing over Trump's complete indifference to the traditional platform is the first step in transformation. We'll always have a two party system in the US. What the parties stand for changes drastically over time. The thing I think most people don't get is that politics is never resolved. There will always be a fight. And in a two party system, no one party will stay in power more than a couple of election cycles. There's a homeostatic mechanism at play.
- CarpetBench 10y ago
  I guess we'll have to agree to disagree :).
  - golemotron 10y ago
    Or we could bet on whether either party ever again has five term Presidential run. ;) It would be interesting either way.