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> There is no Moore’s law for battery storage—the power of batteries doesn’t magically double every two years. > Put another away, the battery pack in the 2017
by mtgx 10y ago
> There is no Moore’s law for battery storage—the power of batteries doesn’t magically double every two years.
> Put another away, the battery pack in the 2017 Volt will cost less than 10 percent more than the one in the 2012 Volt. But it will be more than four times more powerful.
Intel wishes its chips still quadrupled in performance every 5 years.
> We’re moving toward a world where more and more cars will either run primarily on gasoline but with an assist from powerful batteries or primarily on powerful batteries but with an assist from gasoline.
He's saying that in article talking about how cheap batteries have become and how in a few years they'll be $100/KWh? Within 10 years all EVs will have 100-150 KWh batteries. That's 400-600 mile ranges.
The only place where you'll see "hybrids" is some niches where batteries alone couldn't possibly make sense, but I have a hard time coming up with ideas for vehicles where batteries alone wouldn't be enough in 15 years and they're smaller than say a train or an airplane. Even buses should do just fine with a 200KWh battery for a 16-18h work-day.
> Earlier this week, Bloomberg New Energy Finance released a report arguing that by 2040, 35 percent of annual vehicles sales will be electric.
It will be at least twice as much by 2030. By 2025 few will want a car that isn't an EV, and the car makers will have no choice but to start competing in EVs as their primary cars.
- kalleboo 10y ago> But it will be more than four times more powerful It's also more than twice as heavy
- Freestyler_3 10y agoI just find it funny, that they think that moore's law means that chips magically improve, that it is not dependant on the hard work of people.