6 ms·

Another Bernie supporter here, but I think you're overestimating Trump's chances against Hillary. They're good enough to be frightening, but I'm not sure he's

Another Bernie supporter here, but I think you're overestimating Trump's chances against Hillary. They're good enough to be frightening, but I'm not sure he's the favorite, much less the "heavy" favorite. As bad as her negatives are, his are much worse -- he's already alienated almost everyone except his committed supporters. We live in interesting times, and it's going to be a very interesting election year.

willholloway 10y ago
His negative spread is only ~8 points worse, Hillary's negatives amongst men are almost as bad as Trump's amongst women. I say heavy favorite based on the trend lines I see, and that Trumps negatives come from his words, where Hillary's come from her actions, and I think insulting words, style and positions are inherently easier to change/explain/apologize for than actions and character. Trump's greatest strength this cycle is that he has never held elected office, when it comes to your financial pain, his hands are clean. Manafort lays out his strategy for Trump[1], and I think it will work. America has been here before, with another entertainer, Ronald Reagan. [1] http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/manafort-tells-rnc-trump-has-different-private-persona-n560186 http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/manafort-tells...
- jessaustin 10y ago
  ...when it comes to your financial pain, his hands are clean. Unless, of course, you invested in one of Trump's many "failed" real estate schemes.
  - MaysonL 10y ago
    Or paid money to attend his "University".