Here's why this post-mortem is so important: The distinguishing feature of the scientific method is not that it always gets the answer right, but that it f

Here's why this post-mortem is so important: The distinguishing feature of the scientific method is not that it always gets the answer right, but that it fails forward by learning from its mistakes... I want to think through his nomination while trying to avoid the seduction of hindsight bias. Kudos to Nate Silver for meticulously examining how he got it wrong, and publicly showing his work so we can all get better.