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What's your opinion of the superforecasters work?
What's your opinion of the superforecasters work?
I commented on this previously: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10277039 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10277039
I have read the book but I am not super convinced by the way they estimate whether a forecaster is good or not. The methodology is debatable.