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I think it may happen, but not on his timetable. If you read his Age of Spiritual Machines, he dismissed many very difficult problems in AI and material scienc

I think it may happen, but not on his timetable. If you read his Age of Spiritual Machines, he dismissed many very difficult problems in AI and material science with a bunch of hand-waving. He could just as well be off by 50-150 years.

Hexstream 19y ago
"He could just as well be off by 50-150 years." Well, that's not even a blimp in the history of mankind.
- aswanson 19y ago
  True. Like I said, I had a problem with his timetable, which he did not justify to my satisfaction. His premise may be valid. I would say it is almost inevitable.