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The IEA World Energy Outlook, and other realistic detailed future energy scenarios (including IPCC reports) say we're going to double or even triple nuclear pow
by semi-extrinsic 11y ago
The IEA World Energy Outlook, and other realistic detailed future energy scenarios (including IPCC reports) say we're going to double or even triple nuclear power production from now until 2050.
- toomuchtodo 11y agoHave a citation? All OECD reports I've seen show little to no expansion of nuclear except in possibly China and India. Nuclear power is going to need to come in under 3 cents/kwh to compete against solar and wind.
- civilian 11y agoNuclear power doesn't have to compete with solar and wind during quiet winter nights-- it gets to compete against batteries + solar/wind. Grids with a lot of renewables are also dealing with a lot of stress on the electrical grid: http://www.pri.org/stories/2015-04-07/when-grid-says-no-wind-and-solar-power-companys-technology-helps-it-say-yes-again http://www.pri.org/stories/2015-04-07/when-grid-says-no-wind... It's a solvable engineering problem, but the meta operations problem is: "is it cheaper to have a grid that is 50% nuclear and 50% renewable, or a grid that is 100% renewables with a lot of battery-stations to absorb/emit the variances"
- deleted 11y ago[deleted]
- rgbrenner 11y agoOnly in the most pro-nuclear estimate is that true. The 2014 IEA report gives two numbers, 413 GWe (low nuclear) and 1092 GWe (high nuclear) estimates for 2050. Compared with today's 377 GWe. And they've been revising those numbers downward each of the past several years since Fukushima. http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/current-and-future-generation/world-energy-needs-and-nuclear-power.aspx http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/current-and...