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Well, if we leave the details aside, you do something where you take a probability distribution between a and b right? If thats the case, I think my original p
by roundsquare 17y ago
Well, if we leave the details aside, you do something where you take a probability distribution between a and b right? If thats the case, I think my original point stands, neither hypothesis really implied the other one because they say different things about the probability that x is in certain ranges.
I'm sure there are other problems with using the p value as a measure of certainty (though I don't know them) but this specific criticism seems silly.
- sesqu 17y agoI absolutely agree. I can't see anything wrong with my calculation above, which leads me to conclude the blog post or the article it is based on misunderstands – or at the very least miscommunicates – the problem, if indeed there is one. The actual problem might be that standard statistical tests are difficult to use, but then isn't that why the theory had to be developed in the first place?