3 ms·

Tin-foil, but if I were Satoshi and wanted to remain anonymous, and some journalists started snooping around, one way to shut them down would be to publicly pos

Tin-foil, but if I were Satoshi and wanted to remain anonymous, and some journalists started snooping around, one way to shut them down would be to publicly post a "proof" that seems technical enough to get the reporters to run out screaming "we got him!" but falls apart once more technical people start investigating...

chriswarbo 10y ago
If you treat the "proof" falling apart under scrutiny as evidence that he is Satoshi, then to remain consistent you must treat a strong proof which holds up under scrutiny as evidence against him being Satoshi. http://lesswrong.com/lw/ii/conservation_of_expected_evidence http://lesswrong.com/lw/ii/conservation_of_expected_evidence
- crystalmeph 10y ago
  To be clear, I don't believe my tin-foil conspiracy is true, and honestly it doesn't matter one bit to me if Craig Wright is the inventor of Bitcoin. That said, I never said that his "absence of evidence that he is Satoshi" is actually "evidence that he is Satoshi". In fact, no one has provided any real evidence either that he is or is not Satoshi. Again, assuming that the real Satoshi wishes to remain anonymous, but is on the verge of discovery anyway, he may have a difficult time "proving" that he isn't Satoshi, so his next best bet might be to sidestep proof entirely and instead play a kind of mind game to throw off the investigation. So conservation of expected evidence doesn't factor in, because he hasn't "proven" anything one way or the other, he's basically gambled that internet ridicule will achieve a desired goal.
arcticfox 10y ago
This would be rather genius. And extremely unlikely, but effective if true and ever enacted.
- CyberDildonics 10y ago
  Why would it be clever to put yourself on the map when before no one would have even considered you?
  - arcticfox 10y ago
    Well, this tinfoil theory is assuming that the leaks several months ago putting him on the map were actually legitimate and he didn't have a choice about it.
rdtsc 10y ago
> if I were Satoshi and wanted to remain anonymous, That discounts the fact that nobody would be able to figure it out. You did though, and I've heard that theory before as well. Then also unless real Satoshi issues a statement saying "I am not this guy", people will always keep an eye on this clown. Always watching his moves and suspecting him. Now, maybe if he was the real Satoshi as your are claiming he should then issue a statement that he isn't. That'll surely misdirect things a bit. "We've heard right from Satoshi that this isn't Satoshi, so ok, just a crazy guy". But then again, same trap, that is what Satoshi might be experted to do if he was hiding and trying to misdirect the public. And we got another twist in the spiral and so on...

chriswarbo 10y ago

If you treat the "proof" falling apart under scrutiny as evidence that he is Satoshi, then to remain consistent you must treat a strong proof which holds up under scrutiny as evidence against him being Satoshi. http://lesswrong.com/lw/ii/conservation_of_expected_evidence http://lesswrong.com/lw/ii/conservation_of_expected_evidence

crystalmeph 10y ago
To be clear, I don't believe my tin-foil conspiracy is true, and honestly it doesn't matter one bit to me if Craig Wright is the inventor of Bitcoin. That said, I never said that his "absence of evidence that he is Satoshi" is actually "evidence that he is Satoshi". In fact, no one has provided any real evidence either that he is or is not Satoshi. Again, assuming that the real Satoshi wishes to remain anonymous, but is on the verge of discovery anyway, he may have a difficult time "proving" that he isn't Satoshi, so his next best bet might be to sidestep proof entirely and instead play a kind of mind game to throw off the investigation. So conservation of expected evidence doesn't factor in, because he hasn't "proven" anything one way or the other, he's basically gambled that internet ridicule will achieve a desired goal.

arcticfox 10y ago

This would be rather genius. And extremely unlikely, but effective if true and ever enacted.

CyberDildonics 10y ago
Why would it be clever to put yourself on the map when before no one would have even considered you?
- arcticfox 10y ago
  Well, this tinfoil theory is assuming that the leaks several months ago putting him on the map were actually legitimate and he didn't have a choice about it.

rdtsc 10y ago

> if I were Satoshi and wanted to remain anonymous, That discounts the fact that nobody would be able to figure it out. You did though, and I've heard that theory before as well. Then also unless real Satoshi issues a statement saying "I am not this guy", people will always keep an eye on this clown. Always watching his moves and suspecting him. Now, maybe if he was the real Satoshi as your are claiming he should then issue a statement that he isn't. That'll surely misdirect things a bit. "We've heard right from Satoshi that this isn't Satoshi, so ok, just a crazy guy". But then again, same trap, that is what Satoshi might be experted to do if he was hiding and trying to misdirect the public. And we got another twist in the spiral and so on...