4 ms·

it seems to work for climate "science"..

• Hondor 10y ago
  It's hard for the layman to see any science happening with climate science. All we hear is predictions that have already come true before they were made, vague unfalsifiable predictions for the near future and the more concrete predictions for so far in the future that we haven't had a chance to test them yet. Maybe we can trust that climate scientists somehow blinded themselves to recent data while making their models, then wrote up or even published their predictions before unblinding themselves and saying "Wow, it turned out to be right!". But we don't hear much about those important methodological details in the popular press. We don't hear about the track record of correct vs incorrect predictions. Each side of the debate only skews it to serve its own interests. For example, I recently read a story on a pro climate change website listing many failures of previous climate predictions. However every single failure was one where it turned out the effect was greater than predicted, never smaller. Thus serving the goal of scaring people. That's probably not really a fair showing of all predictions.