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The model is too simplistic. Human beings are also tribal and creatures of habit as well. We tend to vote for our party, those we've voted for in the past, and/

The model is too simplistic. Human beings are also tribal and creatures of habit as well. We tend to vote for our party, those we've voted for in the past, and/or people who are like us. In fact, the fact that only 11-12 states are up for grabs and the rest are solidly Democratic or Republican shows that charisma doesn't matter for most of the electoral. It may be a weighted factor in those cross section of voters who are independents and willing to cross political lines. Is Trump really charismatic, or is he saying things the electorate wants to hear, by promising everything under the sun, with no plan and no explanation, and blaming problems on foreigners and minorities. Xenophobia can also be a powerful factor. IMHO, Hillary is going to beat Trump in the general election, however if there's a major terrorist attack on US soil, we could be looking at President Trump.

kelukelugames 11y ago
Those things are not mutually exclusive. Demagogue are charming.
joslin01 11y ago
> Human beings are also tribal And who's usually the most powerful in a tribe? The most charismatic. Many voters will change positions, so if you're looking to apply tribal theory upon voter preference, that just takes into account the people who already had their minds mostly made up. The swing votes is the deciding factor, and what are some attributes of swing voters? If they aren't die-hard republicans/democrats, they might be ambivalent or outright disinterested in politics. Who do you think would sway them? The fact-listing robot or the guy who says he's gonna change the world? Was Bernie just saying what people want as well? Yes and no. Do you think a robot would win that listed off everything that the electorate "wants to hear"? Maybe. It depends on how much you trust the robot to get the job done, doesn't it? Well, the human is also trying to evaluate this potential leader and besides already being charmed by the charisma, the human also views charisma as an attribute of the strong and capable.

kelukelugames 11y ago

Those things are not mutually exclusive. Demagogue are charming.

joslin01 11y ago

> Human beings are also tribal And who's usually the most powerful in a tribe? The most charismatic. Many voters will change positions, so if you're looking to apply tribal theory upon voter preference, that just takes into account the people who already had their minds mostly made up. The swing votes is the deciding factor, and what are some attributes of swing voters? If they aren't die-hard republicans/democrats, they might be ambivalent or outright disinterested in politics. Who do you think would sway them? The fact-listing robot or the guy who says he's gonna change the world? Was Bernie just saying what people want as well? Yes and no. Do you think a robot would win that listed off everything that the electorate "wants to hear"? Maybe. It depends on how much you trust the robot to get the job done, doesn't it? Well, the human is also trying to evaluate this potential leader and besides already being charmed by the charisma, the human also views charisma as an attribute of the strong and capable.